Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.258501 3.762509 4.316263 4.969509 5.718794 6.551126 7.545674
2025-01-12 2.490694 3.132949 3.898301 4.876467 6.092492 7.553675 9.442292
2025-01-19 1.873515 2.541206 3.395724 4.567248 6.129590 8.139484 10.920208
2025-01-26 1.596023 2.314814 3.294786 4.724282 6.752257 9.522143 13.589437
2025-02-02 1.428227 2.200240 3.314305 5.032312 7.608012 11.318655 17.063370
2025-02-09 1.242325 2.023144 3.210300 5.136759 8.174576 12.768891 20.232358
2025-02-16 1.082002 1.854976 3.088252 5.185831 8.650648 14.129500 23.430647
2025-02-23 0.916716 1.649520 2.872899 5.047407 8.798752 14.982591 25.920347
2025-03-02 0.765783 1.442445 2.621464 4.806004 8.731741 15.460492 27.828403
2025-03-09 0.681573 1.339472 2.532104 4.828363 9.113251 16.726073 31.222051
2025-03-16 0.591063 1.210042 2.375666 4.704189 9.208928 17.491866 33.804814
2025-03-23 0.558184 1.186494 2.411793 4.943680 10.006315 19.611625 39.120071
2025-03-30 0.517038 1.142514 2.407059 5.112577 10.709143 21.674604 44.658743
2025-04-06 0.464378 1.066333 2.327473 5.120008 11.092989 23.172125 49.286761
2025-04-13 0.394751 0.942074 2.130432 4.853826 10.876714 23.447028 51.474397
2025-04-20 0.372210 0.920182 2.149420 5.056292 11.683569 25.917869 58.556870
2025-04-27 0.362238 0.926018 2.230435 5.408053 12.863878 29.317033 68.052750
2025-05-04 0.337314 0.891662 2.214482 5.533810 13.548336 31.716793 75.627033
2025-05-11 0.310973 0.849455 2.173851 5.594777 14.088693 33.855586 82.864056
2025-05-18 0.276197 0.779721 2.056230 5.450445 14.116746 34.819663 87.471735
2025-05-25 0.240120 0.700384 1.902770 5.192921 13.828545 34.997752 90.202786
2025-06-01 0.221583 0.666308 1.861030 5.218619 14.260038 36.961231 97.553123
2025-06-08 0.198169 0.614485 1.764814 5.085579 14.261022 37.858816 102.327611